Notes for Chat with Traders, Episode 104

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Episode 105 ... Alex AT09_Trader (58:11)

  • Recorded November 16, 2016 [date for context on shipping stocks discussion]
  • First saw DRYS when it went from $8 to $16
  • Did not have borrow on DRYS so didn't "get balls squeezed"
  • Low float stock with SSR (Short Sale Restriction), no selling pressure
  • Traded sympathy plays TOPS SINO
  • Forced to cover SINO (2.8MM float), could have blown out on that one alone
  • Garbage companies looking to raise money
  • Shorts get trapped, causes "float rotation"
  • Terrified to buy because fliers get halted
  • Lost $40K in EGLE, 35,000 shares with $7s average, could have lost a lot more if didn't get out
  • Dad came from Turkey to US in 1980s, entrepreneur at heart, hard worker
  • Dad made a lot of money in the electronics business
  • Dad put his money in the stock market, blue chips
  • 2008, Alex was 15 or 16, Dad's business fell apart, no more money
  • Sold car's wheels for $2000, put money in TD or eTrade account
  • Found a penny stock guru 
  • Lost all his money following guru
  • Got a job at Starbucks, tried stock market again with meager savings
  • Joined a new chatroom where he learned about shorting, "lightbulb went on"
  • Put money in offshore broker, 6x intraday leverage, avoid pattern day trader rule, prayed it wasn't a scam
  • Shorted VGGL from $4 to $3.50, felt euphoric
  • Shorting became everything to him
  • Blew up small account five or six times, shorting indiscriminately 
  • Shorting trash stocks worked, evolved to shorting sympathy plays
  • Sympathy plays you can find the borrow and it's cheaper
  • Thinks Pattern Day Trader rule is stupid
  • Girlfriend broke up with him, allowed him to save money, obsessed about market instead of her
  • 22 years old, been trading for three years (in Feb. 2017)
  • He's addicted to trading, on his mind 24-7, constantly planning his trades
  • Doesn't sleep much at night
  • Checks pre-market gappers
  • Closely watches pre-market movers
  • Writes down a plan for the day
  • Figures out support and resistance for each stock he plans to trade
  • Puts orders in above, hopes for spikes up at open [sounds risky]
  • By nature incredibly stubborn
  • Struggles to cut losses fast, would be a millionaire already if he didn't stubbornly hold losers 
  • Tried using stop losses, but always gets stopped out at the top
  • Now stops out half, and re-adds if it reverses
  • Never sets pre-determined amount he's willing to lose
  • Doesn't look at his P&L in real time
  • Loves taking risks in any situation
  • Adds to losers "where it makes sense"
  • Don't cloud your judgment by saying you suck, you're an idiot
  • Have to be able to re-enter quickly despite the loss you just took
  • Now with his big account, he can throw out feelers into parabolics and add on the way down
  • Grew $5000 account through consistent days, slowly but surely, showed up day after day
  • Now he tries to find perfect opportunities, tries not to trade every day
  • Some chat rooms have 1,000 person base ... whatever they buy, it instantly goes back down
  • Ideal set-up is sympathy play, trapped shorts, causes parabolic rise, when main play reverses, hit sympathy play as hard as he can (10,000-50,000 shares), hold for several days, or as long as possible
  • Toxic companies need to raise money
  • Bleeding doesn't stop in one day ... wait a few days, be patient for the "hard money"
  • After a day or two, people move on to the next stock du jour, forgotten stock sells down down down
  • Uses VWAP as his tell for reversal
  • Ebola and forklifts both gave good sympathy plays
  • Uses Twitter to pick up on what people are talking about
  • He's 99% short, 1% long
  • Sometimes he gets long when his short position doesn't work out, reverses himself, but that's rare
  • His friends have no idea how much money he makes
  • 22 years old is the time to take risks, no bills, no mortgage, lives with his Dad
  • Doesn't spend much money except for going out on the weekends
  • Doesn't want to show off
  • Open book about his numbers with any fellow trader because they'll understand
  • Bought foreclosure house to flip
  • Contractor nickel and dimed him, crooked guys, other annoyances, but not super difficult
  • Missed trading during the house renovation project
  • Low-float plays came back just after his house sale
  • Need a good, trustrworthy honest team to do real estate, can't get screwed at every turn
  • Learned you don't need nice kitchen appliances or countertops in a crappy neighborhood
  • Learned you can't go super-cheap on the bathrooms
  • Grow your small account by trading your single set-up consistently
  • Little things add up and it happens faster than you'd imagine
  • www.investorsunderground.com/AT09/
  • Twitter: AT09_Trader