Amarin Pop -- 1 Minute View

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Again, didn't have scanner running but this should have popped up during lunch hour ... ding ding, wake up and take a look, old man. Crap risk reward if held into the close but it was ahead 30% at one point, so.... if day trading were easy everyone would have wavy thick hair like mine.

Etta Jones Channel

Added on by C. Maoxian.

First 100 tracks generated by Pandora's algo ... bit of a mystery why Etta Jones is relatively unknown?

  1. Etta Jones -- Solitude
  2. Etta James -- Fool That I Am
  3. Nancy Wilson -- Teach Me Tonight
  4. Ray Charles -- Georgia On My Mind
  5. Etta Jones -- Nature Boy [i do like her style/sound]
  6. Louis Armstrong -- I Wonder
  7. Billie Holiday -- Fine And Mellow (Live)
  8. Otis Redding -- I've Been Loving You Too Long (To Stop Now)
  9. Mose Allison -- You Won't Let Me Go
  10. Etta Jones -- Don't Go To Strangers
  11. Billie Holiday -- Stormy Weather
  12. Shirley Horn -- Fever
  13. Nat King Cole -- Unforgettable
  14. Etta Jones -- Old Folks
  15. Billie Holiday -- All Of Me
  16. Aretha Franklin -- (You Make Me Feel Like) A Natural Woman (Mono Single Version)
  17. John Coltrane -- Say It (Over And Over Again)
  18. Ray Charles & The COunt Basie Orchestra -- Georgia On My Mind
  19. Dinah Washington – Crazy He Calls Me
  20. Ernestine Anderson – What A Difference A Day Made [she’s good]
  21. Etta James – The Man I Love
  22. Ella Fitzgerald – I Get A Kick Out Of You
  23. Etta Jones – I’ll Be There
  24. Ray Charles – Georgia On My Mind (1960)
  25. Etta James – These Foolish Things (Remind Me Of You)
  26. Beryl Booker – Someone To Watch Over Me
  27. Louis Armstrong – A Kiss To Build A Dream On
  28. Etta Jones – Love Walked In
  29. Ben Webster (Billie Holiday) – Do Nothin’ Till You Hear From Me
  30. Ella Fitzgerald & Louis Armstrong – Dream A Little Dream Of Me
  31. Dinah Washington – There’ll Be Some Changes Made
  32. Billie Holiday – You Go To My Head
  33. Beth Hart and Joe Bonamassa – Your Heart Is As Black As Night
  34. Ella Fitzgerald & Louis Armstrong – The Nearness Of You
  35. Ray Brown Trio – Poor Butterfly (feat. Etta Jones)
  36. Madeleine Peyroux – Smile
  37. Etta Jones – If I Had You
  38. Billie Holiday – Blue Moon
  39. Nina Simone – Feeling Good
  40. Otis Redding – Stand By Me
  41. Ella Fitzgerald – Summertime
  42. Billie Holiday – Until The Real Thing Comes Along
  43. Etta Jones – Blw Top Blues
  44. Ray Charles – Georgia On My Mind (1955)
  45. Blossom Dearie – Someone To Watch Over Me
  46. Nina Simone – My Baby Just Cares For Me
  47. Bill Withers – Ain’t No Sunshine
  48. Ben E. King – Stand By Me
  49. Ben Webster – When I Fall In Love
  50. Bille Holiday – The Very Thought Of You
  51. Etta Jones – Since I Fell For You
  52. Sarah Vaughan – They Can’t Take That Away From Me
  53. Ella Fitzgerald – Guilty
  54. Etta James – I Just Want To Make Love To You
  55. Maxine Sullivan – S’posin’
  56. Etta Jones – Someday My Prince Will Come
  57. Billie Holiday – Come Rain Or Shine
  58. Nina Simone – Exactly Like You [great piano playing from Nina]
  59. Etta James – All I Could Do Was Cry
  60. Ella Fitzgerald – Love You Madly
  61. Dinah Washington – Is You Or Is You Ain’t My Baby
  62. Billie Holiday – Loveless Love
  63. Diana Krall – I’m Just A Lucky So And So [boring white Canadian deserves a thumbs down]
  64. Pearl Bailey – Old Man, You Been Gone Too Long
  65. Etta Jones – Just Friends
  66. Dinah Washington – Embraceable You
  67. Sarah Vaughan – I’ve Got The World On A String
  68. Nat King Cole – Stardust
  69. Pearl Bailey – Frankie And Johnny
  70. Melody Gardot – Your Heart Is As Black As Night [blonde youngster, better than Krall]
  71. Ella Fitzgerald & Louis Armstrong – Don’t Be That Way
  72. Etta James – Stormy Weather
  73. Nina Simone – I Loves You Porgy
  74. Anita O’Day – Memories of You
  75. Ella Fitzgerald & Louis Armstrong – Tenderly
  76. Etta Jones – Mean To Me
  77. Louis Jordan – Is You Or Is You Ain’t My Baby
  78. Ray Charles – Georgia On My Mind (Live LA 9/20/64) [heard this one enough]
  79. Dinah Washington – After You’ve Gone
  80. Billie Holiday – Jim
  81. Etta Jones – Blues To End All Blues
  82. Carmen McRae – Exactly Like You
  83. Doris Day – It Had To Be You
  84. Etta James – Trust In Me
  85. Etta Jones – Salty Papa Blues
  86. Billie Holiday – I Can’t Face The Music
  87. Nat King Cole – When I Fall In Love
  88. Rosemary Clooney – Good Morning Heartache
  89. Etta Jones – Canadian Sunset
  90. Ella Fitzgerald – Isn’t It Romantic
  91. Nina Simone – I Put A Spell On You
  92. Ella Fitzgerald & Louis Armstrong – Love Is Here To Stay
  93. Etta James – I’d Rather Go Blind [great live version with rowdy crowd]
  94. John Coltrane – Like Someone In Love
  95. Ella Fitzgerald – I Let A Song Go Out Of My Heart
  96. Nancy Wilson – Call It Stormy Monday
  97. Billie Holiday – Do Nothing ‘Til You Hear From Me [algo repeating itself]
  98. Georgie Auld – Taking A Chance On Love
  99. Etta Jones – How Deep Is The Ocean
  100. Dianne Reeves – The Nearness Of You / Misty

Movies Watched -- Force Majeure

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Watched this one awhile ago and wrote a post but SquareSpace got hung up and lost it ... second attempt, foggier memory. Wasn't that thrilled with it.  Beautiful Swedish couple with two bratty kids on a ski holiday in France (they have money). They have a close call with an avalanche and the Dad doesn't try to protect his wife and kids but runs away.  This act of cowardice and selfishness makes everything fall apart (as it should). Movie makes weak modern men ask themselves, "would I do that?" 

Movies Watched -- Crossfire

Added on by C. Maoxian.

This one wasn't so great, preachy ... heavy-handed moralizing ... how big a problem was anti-Semitism in 1947? Jews being beaten to death in America by strangers for being Jews? Did this ever happen?... Mitchum is in it but he's kind of sleepwalking through it. Not recommended.

Avago and Broadcom Pops, 1 Minute View

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Didn't have the scanner running but clearly it would have picked these up pronto ... refresh rate ideally 10 seconds on the scan? Dunno, will have to work on it once back in the proper timezone ... when I'm not doing yard work.  Always happy to talk with humans (no bots, please) who caught this in real-time.

Crick to enrarge

Crick to enrarge

My buddy @HCPG was kind enough to share a ten tick chart of BRCM with me ... this is a better way to view these pops:

StockTwits stream for AVGO ... NewsHedge_Squawk and danshep55 on top of it. 

StockTwits stream for BRCM ... OpenOutcrier not on his usual game with a 14:00 post:

Beijing Restaurants -- Noodle Bar

Added on by C. Maoxian.

I scootered over to the Jing A Taproom intending to have lunch there only to discover that they open at 5 PM. It's up in the 1949 compound behind the IBM building.  It took me 18 minutes and 8 seconds (approximately) to get there from my office the way the scooter flies (via Er Huan).

Below are the hours of the Jing A Taproom.  There was a friendly handsome bearded white guy in there (in addition to a gaggle of youngsters staring into laptops) who told me they open at 5 PM.  I should have called ahead but that isn't my style. 

See the QR code there?  Yes, big in China. 

Next door to the Taproom is the old Noodle Bar, which has been there for many many years, so I had lunch there.  Here's the lunch menu:


I got the set lunch (beef brisket, tendon, and tripe) with thick spinach noodles, snack, and oolong tea for 48 kuai (US$7.74) (actually turned out to be 58 kuai (US$9.35) since the spinach noodles are 10 kuai extra -- not disclosed on the menu or verbally at the time, to my annoyance, though of course they were effusively apologetic later and I didn't make a scene like I would have done in my youth, mainly to show off my ability to scream "fluently" and at length in Chinese) .

I also got a small bottle of Heineken for the low low price of 45 kuai (US$7.25) since I was in the mood for beer, any beer. Oh, I also got the deep-fried tofu cubes with pepper and salt, which are excellent beer food, if you didn't know.  

Deep-fried tofu, good beer food

You can sit in the courtyard, which was pleasant on a warm day like today, though the air quality left something to be desired (05-27-2015 12:00; PM2.5; 111.0; 180; Unhealthy (at 24-hour exposure at this level)). Below are my thick spinach noodles with brisket, tripe and tendon (see them all floating there?). They were OK. I'm not big on tripe or tendon but I'm not picky either, I'll eat anything (once). 

Spinach noodley with floating bits

There is a 10% service charge (the horror!?!), but they do take credit cards and were quick with the fapiao. They did collect the money upfront which always makes me uncomfortable, like they think you're going to pull a runner, but it's actually nice simply to get up and leave when you're finished. Grand total was 133 kuai (US$21.44).

I scootered back to the office via San Huan which took 16 minutes 47 seconds (approximately) the way the scooter flies. Pop, 1 Minute View

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Things that take off during the lunch hour (esp. before a three day weekend) really stand out ... every day trader (and our bot brethren) on planet earth was on top of this from 13:02. 

StockTwits stream at the time ... David Faber talking on CNBC the cause? ... Newshedge_Squawk on top of it as usual followed by a gentleman in Moscow ... it's a small world. 

Quest Diagnostics Pop, 1 Minute View

Added on by C. Maoxian.

I did have the scanner running on Friday ... DGX was #2 on it at 10:29 AM and then went to #1 for many minutes thereafter ... if you were fast enough you could have made some money ... slow and it would have been a scratch ... very slow and you would have lost a bundle. Let me look at the Twitter feed mentioned in this Bloomberg piece:

Quest shares gave up most of their gains within minutes. They were up 6.9 percent to $79.07 at 11:07 a.m. in New York. In his tweet, since removed, Joe Kunkle, known as @OptionsHawk, said Quest had hired Goldman Sachs & Co. after receiving a $95-a-share approach. A Quest spokesman didn’t immediately return messages seeking comment.

Tweet simply conveyed a market rumor, says the author. I'd like to know the time stamp of the deleted tweet ... was it 10:29 AM or earlier?  

StockTwits stream from the time... WallStJesus and OptionRunners both noted unusual activity in calls before my scanner picked up stock movement at 10:29 AM.

Nanex posted a nice chart, as usual ... professional traders need a good data feed like his, $9.99 isn't going to cut it. 

Yahoo Drop, 1 Minute View

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Did not have the scanner running but assume it would have chirped at 15:34. I do know how to spell "unusual," though you wouldn't know it from my chart annotations. 

Crick to enrarge

Movies Watched -- Feuchtgebiete (Wetlands)

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Tries to shock and revolt and succeeds ... a gross-out story from Germany about a screwed-up girl with boyish good looks who has hemorrhoids and hasn't read Charles Willeford's classic book, "A guide for the undehemorrhoided" ... she has terrible, cruel parents (esp. her mother) which explains a lot of her behavior (spoiler: it's revealed late in the movie that the worst of her many childhood traumas was her mother's attempted suicide/filicide of her baby brother) ... but it has a sort of weirdly conventional ending.

I did watch it to the end and didn't fast forward (it is under 100 minutes) so it earns a yellow rating. Can't recommend it. I'm sure many people can't make it even ten minutes in, but if you're difficult to disgust, you might enjoy it.  

Etta James Channel

Added on by C. Maoxian.

First 50 tracks generated by the Pandora algo:

  1. Etta James -- All I Could Do Is Cry
  2. Ray Charles -- I Got A Woman
  3. Sam Cooke --A Change Is Gonna Come
  4. Otis Redding --Send Me Some Lovin'
  5. Etta James -- At Last
  6. Etta Jones -- Till There Was You [not familiar with her, liked it]
  7. Ray Charles -- Fever (feat. Natalie Cole) 
  8. Buddy Guy --Ain't No Sunshine (feat. Tracy Chapman) 
  9. Etta James --Don't Cry Baby 
  10. Billie Holiday -- Easy Living 
  11. Aretha Franklin --The Weight 
  12. Otis Redding -- These Arms Of Mine (Live) 
  13. The Penguins -- Earth Angel (Will You Be Mine) 
  14. Sam Cooke --One More Time Etta James -- I Prefer You 
  15. Al Green -- Here I Am (Come And Take Me) 
  16. The Flamingos -- I Only Have Eyes For You
  17. Billie Holiday -- I Must Have That Man
  18. Etta James -- My Dearest Darling
  19. Otis Redding -- A Fool For You
  20. Billie Holiday -- These Foolish Things
  21. Natalie Cole -- The Very Thought Of You [underwhelming, she's only somebody's daughter]
  22. Dusty Springfield -- Son Of A Preacher Man
  23. Melody Gardot -- Quiet Fire
  24. Etta James -- Lovin' Arms [good one, who else has covered?]
  25. Little Willie John -- Fever
  26. Otis Redding & Carla Thomas -- Tell It Like It Is
  27. Aretha Franklin -- Let It Be
  28. Sam Cooke -- There'll Be No Second Time
  29. Nat King Cole -- Smile
  30. Garnet Mimms -- It's Just A Matter Of Time
  31. Billie Holiday -- Gee Baby Ain't I Good To You
  32. Ann Peebles -- I Can't Stand The Rain
  33. Dean Martin -- Sway
  34. Ray Charles -- Mess Around
  35. Etta James -- W-O-M-A-N
  36. Bobby Darin -- Dream Lover
  37. Percy Sledge -- You've Really Got A Hold On Me
  38. Otis Redding -- Cupid
  39. Mable John -- You Made A Fool Out Of Me
  40. Ray Charles -- Uchain My Heart
  41. Elkie Brooks -- I'd Rather Go Blind
  42. Otis Redding -- Something Is Worrying Me
  43. Billie Holiday -- They Can't Take That Away From Me
  44. Etta James -- At Last (Live)
  45. Nina Simone -- In The Dark
  46. Ray Charles -- Don't Set Me Free [backing vocals good]
  47. Ella Fitzgerald -- I Ain't Got Nothing But The Blues
  48. Al Green -- What It's All About
  49. Frank Sinatra & Count Basie -- Fly Me To The Moon (In Other Words)
  50. Melody Gardot -- Worrisome Heart

Paul Robeson Channel

Added on by C. Maoxian.

First 50 tracks generated by Pandora's algo:

  1. Paul Robeson -- There's A Man Goin' Round Takin' Names
  2. Harry T. Burleigh -- Go Down Moses
  3. Pete Seeger -- Passing Through
  4. Louis Armstrong -- Dream A Little Dream Of Me
  5. Paul Robeson -- Ol' Man River
  6. Nina Simone -- Little Girl Blue
  7. Bill McAdoo and Pete Seeger -- Wade In The Water
  8. Louis Armstrong -- What A Wonderful World
  9. Keb' Mo' -- The Times They Are A-Changin'
  10. Paul Robeson -- Some Day He'll Make It Plain To Me
  11. Rufus Wainwright -- Hallelujah
  12. Edward H.S. Boatner -- Sometimes I Feel Like A Motherless Child
  13. Leadbelly -- Looky, Looky Yonder
  14. Paul Robeson -- Vi Azoi Der Keyser
  15. Pete Seeger -- If I Had A Hammer
  16. Nina Simone -- Feelin' Good
  17. Bill MaCadoo -- I Don't Want No Jim Crow Coffee
  18. Bob Dylan -- The Times They Are A-Changin' (Bootleg Series Version)
  19. Big Bill Broonzy, Sonny Terry, and Brownie McGhee -- Oh, What A Beautiful City
  20. Pete Seeger -- The Big Rock Candy Mountain
  21. Nina Simone -- Trouble In Mind (Live)
  22. Bill McAdoo and Pete Seeger -- Eight-Hundred Miles
  23. Keb' Mo' -- You Can Love Yourself
  24. Pete Seeger -- Midnight Special (Live)
  25. Etta James -- A Sunday Kind Of Love [one of her greats]
  26. Leadbelly -- I Want To Go Home
  27. Pink Anderson -- Weeping Willow Blues
  28. Tom Waits -- Kentucky Avenue
  29. K.D. Lang -- Hallelujah
  30. Jimmie Davis -- The Shotgun Wedding
  31. Billie Holiday -- I'll Be Seeing You (#3)
  32. Tom Waits -- Cold Cold Ground
  33. Leadbelly -- De Kalb Woman
  34. Bill McAdoo -- I Dram Of A World
  35. Nina Simone -- Black Is The Color Of My True Love's Hair
  36. Johnny Cash -- Far Away Places [great stuff, esp. his prologue]
  37. Mississippi John Hurt -- Casey Jones
  38. Jimmie Davis -- Davis' Last Day Blues (1923 Blues)
  39. Pink Anderson -- I Got A Woman 'Way Cross Town
  40. Paul Robeson -- Kevin Barry
  41. Woody Guthrie -- Cocaine Blues
  42. Bing Crosby -- A Cockeyed Optimist
  43. Little Brother Montgomery -- This Train
  44. Paul Robeson -- Joe Hill
  45. Pete Seeger -- Swanee River
  46. Bill McAdoo -- Go Down Moses
  47. Blind Willie McTell -- Travelin' Blues
  48. Paul Robeson -- Little Gal
  49. Lightnin' Hopkins -- What'd I Say? [good stuff]
  50. Tom Waits -- Johnsburg, Illinois

Avon Messy Pop, 1 Minute View

Added on by C. Maoxian.

A fake bid was submitted at 11:34:17 for Avon ... as Eric (@nanexllc) mentioned, it was late in the 11:35 bar when the stock finally began to react... reader bots skeptical and required human intervention? ... anyway, you can't see in my one minute chart below what a realistic entry and exit would have looked like, you need to drop to a tick chart for that ... also my chart doesn't reflect the multiple halts the stock suffered, and what a mess the non-bunched chart looks like.

I assume they will find whoever put in the fake bid and will jail them. It's easy to track large purchases of call options (the options markets are incredibly illiquid and it takes milliseconds to detect unusual activity) so the SEC, even working at government bureaucrat speed, should be able to uncover the culprits within a day or two.

Crick to enrarge

Morgan Heritage Channel

Added on by C. Maoxian.

First 50 tracks generated by the Pandora algo:

  1. Morgan Heritage -- Man Is Still A Man
  2. Bob Marley -- Roots (B-Side Of Waiting In Vain)
  3. Jah Cure -- Love Is
  4. Beres Hammond -- One Love One Life
  5. Morgan Heritage -- Reggae Road Block
  6. Duane Stephenson -- Fool For You
  7. Anthony B -- World A Reggae Music
  8. Gyptian -- One More Night
  9. Buju Banton -- We'll Be Alright
  10. Morgan Heritage -- Down By The RIver
  11. DaVille -- Give Thanks For What You've Got
  12. Capleton -- Never Share
  13. Richie Spice -- Take It Easy
  14. Morgan Heritage -- Mission In Progress
  15. Beres Hammond -- Love From A Distance
  16. Duane Stephenson -- Heaven Will Rise Up
  17. Steel Pulse -- Reggae Fever
  18. Dennis Brown -- Wisdom
  19. Bob Marley -- Roots, Rock, Reggae (Unreleased Single Mix)
  20. Beres Hammond -- No Goodbye
  21. Alborosie -- You Make Me Feel Good
  22. Garnett Silk -- Hello Africa
  23. Steel Pulse -- Find It ... Quick!
  24. Lucky Dube -- Together As One
  25. Tarrus Riley -- Love Created (Marcus Teaching)
  26. Sizzla -- Smoke Marijuana
  27. Mr. Vegas -- Do You Know
  28. Luciano -- Wish You Were Mine
  29. Collie Buddz -- Sensimillia
  30. Bob Marley -- Kinky Reggae
  31. Warrior King -- King
  32. Stephen Marley -- Fed Up
  33. Natural Black -- Conquer Dem
  34. Bob Marley -- Three Little Birds
  35. Luciano -- Trod Out
  36. Third World (Reggae) -- 96 Degrees In The Shade (Live)
  37. Steel Pulse -- Blues Dance Raid
  38. George Nooks -- Troubled Heart
  39. Richie Spice -- Ghetto Girl
  40. Bascom X -- Lonely X
  41. Cocoa Tea -- Goof Life
  42. Gregory Isaacs -- Front Door
  43. Sly & Robbie -- Murder She Wrote (feat. Chaka Demus & Pliers)
  44. T.O.K. -- Footprints
  45. Bob Marley -- Exodus (Live)
  46. Morgan Heritage -- New Time, New Sign
  47. Nanko -- Lucky You
  48. Anthony B -- Waan Back (live)
  49. Gentleman -- Blessing Of Jah
  50. Morgan Heritage -- Talkin' Bout War

BlackBerry Pop, 2 Minute View

Added on by C. Maoxian.

I actually saw this one in real-time on Monday (scanner chirping), but I was watching the penultimate episode of Mad Men and couldn't be bothered; would have been a great trade. The Engadget review came out at 11:30 so it obviously isn't what drove this (what do you expect from, sheesh) ... obviously there was a take-out rumor in the market, look at that fatty bar ... every day trader picked up on it within seconds ... the bots of course are milliseconds ahead, even ahead of the Chairman himself, slumped in chair, bowl of popcorn balanced on belly.

Forgot to grab the data so we have to make due with a two minute view here: 

Tessanne Chin Channel

Added on by C. Maoxian.

First 50 songs generated by the Pandora algo:

  1. Tessanne Chin -- Everything Reminds Me Of You
  2. Jah Cure -- Before I Leave
  3. Tessanne Chin -- Underneath It All (The Voice Performance)
  4. Beres Hammond -- Rockaway
  5. Sean Paul -- I'm Still In Love With You
  6. Gyptian -- Beautiful Lady
  7. Tessanne Chin -- If I Were Your Woman ( The Voice Performance)
  8. Alaine -- Whine
  9. Collie Buddz -- Mamacita
  10. Sean Paul -- Hold My Hand
  11. Wayne Wonder -- Love And Affection
  12. Morgan Heritage -- Make It Official
  13. Busy Signal -- Come Over (Missing You)
  14. DaVille -- I'm In Love WIth You
  15. Gyptian -- Weak In The Knees
  16. Tessanne Chin -- I Have Nothing (The Voice Performance)
  17. Jah Cure -- True Reflections
  18. Wayne Wonder -- I Still Believe
  19. Beres Hammond -- No Disturb Sign
  20. Tessanne Chin -- Next To Me (The Voice Performance)
  21. Tarrus RIley -- She's Royal
  22. DaVille -- This Time I Promise
  23. Beres Hammond -- Sweet Lies
  24. Gregory Isaacs -- Night Nurse
  25. Beres Hammond -- Not For Sale
  26. June Lodge & Prince Mohammed -- Someone Loves You Honey
  27. Richie Spice -- Brown Skin
  28. Morgan Heritage -- Don't Haffi Dread [not bad]
  29. Tessanne Chin -- Firework
  30. Tarrus Riley -- Start Anew
  31. Da Ville -- Always On My Mind
  32. Morgan Heritage -- Nothing To Smile About [liked it]
  33. Etana -- I Am Not Afraid
  34. Beres Hammond -- I Feel Good
  35. Tarrus Riley -- Human Nature
  36. Richie Spice -- Youth Dem Cold
  37. Busy Signal -- Come Over
  38. Alaine – Deeper
  39. Jah Cure – World Cry
  40. Etana – Warrior Love
  41. Queen Ifrica – Keep It Yourself
  42. Tessanne China -- Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You)(The Voice Performance)
  43. Beres Hammond – Body & Soul
  44. Bob Marley – Turn Your Lights Down Low
  45. DaVille – Can’t Get Over You
  46. Beres Hammond – Rock Away
  47. Shontelle – Life Is Not An Easy Road
  48. Gentleman – Unconditional Love
  49. Bob Marley – One Love
  50. Tarrus Riley – Love’s Contagious

Drifting Into Progressively More Adversarial Positions

Added on by C. Maoxian.

A speech by David Lampton from earlier this year, "A Tipping Point in U.S.-China Relations is Upon Us," is worth reading ... he tries to take a balanced approach. 

Confidence that a growing middle class, exposure to the world, and integration with it would produce growing value and/or interest convergence over time is challenged by the PRC’s perceived domestic political tightening and muscularity abroad ... the hope that economic interdependence would produce tolerable security cooperation increasingly is questioned.

The China Fantasy is over, right?

I liked this line:

In the United States, elections put a premium on finding security issues that exert a powerful influence over voter behavior and justify larger military budgets in a constrained fiscal environment.

In other words, politicians have to find a new bogeyman that scares the booboisie enough to justify continued support for the military-industrial complex. China a much better hobgoblin than a ragtag bunch of fanatical Islamists.