Notes for Chat with Traders, Episode 10

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Episode 10 ... Tim Grittani (52:48)

  • Finance major at Marquette

  • Learned that he didn't like finance

  • Was into poker and sports betting in high school

  • Opened account with ShareBuilder(?)

  • Started randomly buying and selling 30 cent stocks

  • Lost half his account within a couple of weeks

  • Joined Tim Sykes' "Silver Package"

  • Blindly followed trade alerts from "gurus"

  • Had emotional trouble once money was on the line

  • Hiding his P&L helped him become less emotional

  • Went full time after six months of struggle, $1,300 in the hole

  • November 2011 (?) back to breakeven

  • Made a new mistake, learned something new every day for six months

  • Learned to focus on a couple main set-ups

  1. OTC Pump and Dumps

  2. Buying multi-week or 52-week breakouts

  • Frustrated with listed stocks because too many factors affecting stocks

  • OTC stocks trade in a world of their own

  • Learned to understand promotions run on OTC market

  • Promoters have email lists with thousands of people on them

  • Understood all the connected promoter websites, subscribed to all of them

  • Would try to act on emails he received as fast as possible, beat the crowd on the spike up

  • Would also buy breaks of daily highs on the pumped stock

  • Fine line with fraud regarding stock promotions

  • Learned liquidity all important

  • Began short selling promotions instead of buying them

  • OTC promotions would get halted and would re-open weeks later down dramatically

  • OTC market dead until marijuana stocks ran in 2014

  • Began short selling listed stocks in the same way he shorted OTC promotions

  • When he sees patterns forming, he knows what to do

  • His edge is his experience

  • Spends 15 minutes every night putting together the next day's watchlist

  • Lost $290,000 on a single trade, LAKE, 9.90 entry, October 2014 (chart below)

  • Refused to cut his losses when mis-timed his entries, would always look to add higher

  • Before LAKE, trades would always work out for him in the end, developed a bad habit

  • LAKE experience taught him to cut losses

  • You need the right broker for your trading strategy

  • SpeedTrader best to buy OTC promotions back then

  • Only trade liquid, volatile stocks

  • Identify and focus on your niche

  • Traded only two OTC set-ups (new promotions, breakouts), nothing else

  • Trade charts and price action only (not hype)

  • Everyone knows OTC stocks are garbage, but just as many listed stocks are also garbage

  • Never hold and hope

  • Cut losses intelligently, not necessarily quickly

  • Base stops on chart, not some preconceived dollar or percentage amount

  • Figure your size from your risk level ... dollar risk is constant

  • "Trade the ticker, not the company" -- a Nate Michaud saying

  • Couldn't live without a market scanner -- how he finds his plays

  • Top percent gainers with dollar volume requirements is his main scan

  • Hasn't read any trading books, but interested in trading psychology books most

  • Don't waste your time following trade alerts or mimicking trades

  • Just make your own trades, win or lose, figure things out on your own

  • Be mindful about volume and liquidity -- avoid thin stocks

  • Blog: tradetheticker.blogspot.com

  • Twitter: @KroyRunner89

2018-02-06_12-10-57 grittani.jpg

Notes for Chat with Traders, Episode 69

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Episode 69 ... John Carter (66:34)

Sounds like a down to earth guy, clearly another old pro. 

  • Loves the short side
  • Starts the year with a $180,000 account with goal to turn into a million 
  • Very aggressive trader
  • Been actively trading for 25 years
  • With experience comes patience
  • Difference between successful and unsuccessful traders is patience
  • Patience to wait for the set-up, patience to hold winners
  • If you get emotional and chase, you mess up your mindset
  • Opportunity cost of chasing is huge
  • 18-year old working at mall in cookie store, making $4 an hour
  • Saved up $1,000 over the course of a summer, bought call options on Intel
  • Made $800 in a week from those call options, he was hooked [what if he lost?]
  • Dad read Investor's Business Daily
  • Wired as a risk taker
  • Three times where he built up 10K to 100K with crazy position sizes
  • Then lost it all by trying to go from 100K to 1,000K
  • Mark Douglas' books helped a lot
  • Stopped trying to make a million dollars
  • Appetite for too much risk vesus too much fear
  • If you're too fearful, you can't make a living as a trader
  • Made 100K a year in the corporate world, figured he had to make the same if he traded full time
  • People who are too fearful wait for confirmation and that's the exact time you should be taking profits
  • Became friends with Mark Douglas
  • Douglas' insights into the markets and human mind were key
  • You should think probabilistically while you're in a trade -- anything can happen, no emotional attachments
  • Most people try trading for two years then give up
  • He used early trading profits to buy rental property
  • Later sold rental property to have bigger trading stake
  • Took him eight years of frustration to learn how to trade
  • Average trader with right tools, it should take two years to learn how to trade
  • How do you react when you have money on the line? Calmly take action or deer in headlights?
  • People need to find their sweet spot
  • Types of trading: day trading, swing trading, investing  
  • Nearly impossible to overcome commissions when day trading
  • Impossible to know what's going to happen three months out
  • Two days to two weeks is his sweet spot
  • Looks at 30 minute charts, that's the lowest time frame he'll look at, NEVER looks at five minute charts
  • Markets pop then consolidate
  • Cut his teeth on stock index futures
  • Big options trader on individual stocks
  • Old traders have "three set-ups and four markets" and care about nothing else
  • You don't do the same trades all the time -- depends if the market is bullish or bearish
  • You can be long, short, or flat
  • Flat is one of the best positions -- mind is neutral
  • "Don't piss away your chips" -- be patient
  • One or two days a month of focus are all you need with larger than normal position size
  • People who trade to alleviate their boredom piss away their capital
  • To become a good trader, you have to master exits (both stop losses and targets)
  • Options are priced for "expected moves" -- exit at dollar move that's priced in by options
  • Huge fan of Fibonacci extensions: 1.272 odds of getting there good (take bulk off), odds of getting to 1.618 much lower
  • Options nice because you can define your risk easily, you can only lose what you put up
  • Selling options is fun too
  • Mistake that novice options traders make is looking for cheap options
  • Out of the money options are designed to suck people in and expire worthless
  • If you're bullish on something: buy an in the money call and sell a put credit spread (expires worthless)
  • If you're bearish on something: buy an in the money put and sell a call credit spread (expires worthless)
  • Greeks are a distraction to him, he never looks at them
  • Favorite set-up: "Squeeze" -- Bollinger bands are inside of the Keltner channels
  • Bollinger band contraction eventually leads to range expansion
  • He never looks at a chart for more than a split second
  • Best set-ups are obvious instantly ... don't stare at it and force things
  • All set-ups should be simple enough to explain to a twelve year old
  • Any more than three indicators on a chart is too many
  • Wins and losses are randomly distributed ... you need a large sample size to come to correct conclusions
  • Easy to get lost in indicators, price is the most  important thing
  • January 2014, (14 15 16, he can't remember), big TSLA trade [it was Jan. 13]
  • Likes to track short interest ... TSLA at 40%
  • TSLA had been down ten, suddenly up five
  • Bought 100 call options of TSLA at $6 (account was $1.5MM)
  • Ended up adding and adding, built up to 1000 call options in TSLA [half the account?]
  • Trade went against him a little, so he took a shower, trade stabilized
  • Sold half into close, half into next morning's gap up -- made $1.4MM
  • No more million dollar day trades since then for him
  • Everything came together ... takes guts to hold on to those concentrated positions
  • When things happen that shouldn't happen, people are on the wrong side, big things happen
  • Get on the other side of other people's pain  [I like it]
  • He likes three or four large positions to 18 small positions
  • Don't shotgun, be patient and focus
  • When he was young, he wanted to make that one big trade
  • When you're older and more confident, you have your skills and you get patient
  • Anyone who trades for a living has developed confidence despite constant uncertainty
  • Get comfortable being uncomfortable
  • www.simplertrading.com
  • 1000 members in his gold-level chat room
  • Twitter: @johnfcarter -- infrequent twitterer

TV Shows Watched -- Peaky Blinders

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Watched season one and enjoyed it. 

Notes for Chat with Traders, Episode 32

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Repeat guest ... first heard him on Episode 66, listened out of order. 

Episode 32 ... Dan Shapiro (68:43)

  • Grew up in Brooklyn
  • Lacked direction in life
  • Generic Trading / Carlin Equities (1999-2006),  sold to RBC [in 2007]
  • Borrowed money from neighborhood loan shark
  • Ron Shear at Generic Trading hired him
  • Met Mayer Hoffman, great prop trader (made hundreds of millions)
  • Did well during dot com boom
  • Would just buy the dips and did very well
  • Dot com bust and 9/11 changed everything
  • Didn't make any money for two years
  • Incredibly depressed, would sob himself to sleep
  • End of 2003 started making money again
  • People trading off their iWatches while on vacation on social media (it ain't real)
  • "Here's the deal"
  • Grew up poor in Brighton Beach, mom a manicurist, dad a waiter
  • Tasted success trading during dot com boom, had no Plan B
  • If he didn't succeed at trading, he would have killed himself (he's serious about this)
  • No highs, no lows to trading, it's just work
  • Wife told him he'd have to get a real job
  • Make $100 a day first, then go from there
  • Stocks trade in intervals, like steps in a staircase
  • Stocks go from supply to supply and demand to demand
  • Most stocks are not trade-able
  • Most traders have no patience and no bankroll and no education
  • Looks at 60 minute pivots
  • Figure out who the hell you are
  • Where emotional buyers meet technical sellers: the supply zone
  • The more hands you play, the quicker you'll figure things out
  • He'll only be 6'2" if he puts on his wife's 4" heels -- be realistic
  • Figure out what not to do
  • How do you mentally stay afloat? Turn off your P&L
  • The more emotional you are about a trade, the more you'll mess it up
  • Don't walk away from the table when you're dealt pocket aces
  • Trade the set-up, not your P&L
  • Can't take trading to heart, you have to have a sense of humor
  • The revenge trade does not work, ever
  • You can't cry your money back to you
  • A lot of traders can't accept defeat
  • Lose the battle, not the war
  • The market takes your money and your confidence
  • You don't lose your confidence, it gets transferred to another trader
  • Don't let things snowball, get a massage, go to a sauna, do something nice for yourself
  • Listens to Sade to get depressed which makes him angry which makes him a better trader
  • Makes his money as a swing trader in a trending market
  • Dumb money trades in the morning and smart money trades in the afternoon
  • Will keep a good runner overnight
  • Treat trading like a business, it isn't fun
  • You don't serve filet mignon on a paper plate
  • Mayer Hoffman, Jason Lieber -- they'd tell you if you were trading like a putz
  • Hoffman taught him there's no such thing as overbought
  • "Whatever goes down, should go lower"
  • Price action dictates everything, opinions don't matter
  • Don't fight price action
  • Turn off social media, read good blogs instead, old vets
  • Every trader he knows has blown out, including Mayer
  • He never sells dreams, only reality
  • Don't think you're alone, keep your head up
  • "The rich people don't live in Times Square"
  • Twitter: @DanShep55

The Times Ain't Forgotten

Added on by C. Maoxian.

No good live version on YouTube so I'm forced to embed this ... Jason Isbell's album The Nashville Sound has several tracks that I like, which is remarkable. I'll feature the others in time. This song was written shortly after the booboisie elected T___p. 

The Nashville Sound is available now: http://smarturl.it/IsbellTNS

Notes for Chat with Traders, Episode 157

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Repeat guest, formerly featured in Episode 119

Episode 157 ... Alex @TAGRtrades (62:23)

  • Wife takes care of their new baby (four months old)
  • Hasn't had a full night of sleep in four months
  • Child care $30K a year so doesn't make sense for wife not to stay at home [only in 'murika]
  • December 2017 his best month to date
  • Bitcoin / Blockchain mania at end of year 2017, he was able to catch that
  • MARA, DPW, RIOT his main plays ... sympathy plays
  • He would buy the one that was still red when the other two turned green
  • Lots of liquidity, easy to trade size since exits so easy
  • June 2018 will be five years of trading full time
  • Have to know what are the leaders and laggards in a sector
  • He knew when to back off, take the foot off the pedal, this time around
  • When friends and family contact you for advice, it shows the end is near
  • One or two days a month was where he made the bulk of his gains
  • Equity curve looks pretty when stretched out, but if you zoom in it looks choppier
  • Compounding is the key
  • Only one day this year with zero trades, but quite a few with only one or two trades
  • Stocks that he trades are low float, under $10 ... lots of liquidity issues
  • Makes errors, then doesn't correct them, tries to wriggle out, problems snowball
  • Trying to be better about 1) market preparation; 2) holding longer; 3) getting bigger 
  • In order to get bigger, you have to get better [great saying]
  • Liquidity issues are huge when your account size gets bigger
  • Lives in central time zone, market opens at 8:30 AM
  • Starts looking at market about 90 minutes before the open
  • Develops watch list night before -- stocks to watch
  • Puts 12 charts on the screens at once
  • Looks at daily charts for support / resistance levels
  • Following the right people on Twitter is important for getting news
  • Pays for two news services, squawk boxes (TradeXchange, Benzinga Pro); worth the money
  • He's in favor of journaling, but doesn't do it as much as he used to
  • He's not a big spender, seeing himself down $2-3K in a trade still painful
  • When he has a big day, he doesn't celebrate
  • Still risks same percentage per trade (max 2-3% loss) as in the past
  • Has no confidence in his swing trading ability yet
  • People say he's just a long-biased trader in a giant bull market (to put him down I guess?)
  • Now he's 85% on the long side, 15% short side
  • Short trades are 1/20th the size of his long trades
  • Never adds to his short trades, takes one shot
  • Watches top ten most volume names closely
  • Uses finviz.com to scan ... under $10 stocks, trading 2.5x average daily volume (whatever the default is)
  • Great charts don't matter if the volume isn't there
  • Looks closely at all the charts (20-30) from scan above
  • Low float, hot sector, high short interest, good chart setups
  • Knows top five and bottom five from his list
  • Always starts with the daily chart, only looks back 20 days for high / low resistance
  • Then looks at the hourly chart for support / resistance
  • Uses 3 minute chart to enter trades
  • Looks for flag and pennant patterns after a breakout
  • Uses VWAP on every single chart, but doesn't overanalyze it
  • VWAP gives you a quick basis of where the average person stands
  • Adds 200- and 50-day moving average to charts as target levels (since other people look at those levels)
  • No longer scales into trades, he just goes all in now, max risk from single entry, one shot
  • Quickly takes profits on a piece, then slowly scales out the rest (1/5th his size left at final target, e.g. 200-day MA)
  • Self-discipline all important, be flexible, make adjustments
  • New traders see one mold, try it, it doesn't fit them, they give up or lose a lot
  • Be flexible instead, find what fits you
  • Twitter: @TAGRtrades

Already Told Jesus Everything I Know

Added on by C. Maoxian.

No good live version so I'm forced to embed this ... great song. 

Download the album From A Room: Volume 1 - http://umgn.us/FromARoomVol1 Stream the album here - http://strm.to/stapleton Get the album on vinyl - http://umgn.us/FromARoomVol1Vinyl Sign up to receive email updates from Chris Stapleton: http://umgn.us/chrisstapletonupdates Keep up with Chris here: Website: http://www.chrisstapleton.com Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/chrisstaplet... Instagram: https://instagram.com/castapleton Twitter: https://twitter.com/ChrisStapleton Music video by Chris Stapleton performing Death Row.

Won't You Help Me Share My Load

Added on by C. Maoxian.

No good live version so I'm forced to embed this. Another case where the cover is better than the original ... Raul has a nicer voice than Van's:

Bright Side of the Road by Raul Malo, Pat Flynn, Rob Ickes, & Dave Pomeroy on CMH Records' The Nashville Acoustic Sessions: Raul Malo, Pat Flynn, Rob Ickes, & Dave Pomeroy -- Available Now at CMH Records, Amazon, and iTunes!!! CMH Records: http://www.cmhrecords.com/web/page.asp?pgs=product&catid=3&id=578 Amazon: http://www.amazon.com/Nashville-Acoustic-Sessions-Malo/dp/B0001MDPNQ/ref=sr_1_1_bnp_1_aud?ie=UTF8&qid=1394734841&sr=8-1&keywords=Raul+Malo%2C+Pat+Flynn%2C+Rob+Ickes iTunes: https://itunes.apple.com/us/album/nashville-acoustic-sessions/id277666690

Great Videos from Linda Raschke

Added on by C. Maoxian.

Linda Raschke did this series of videos for Futures Magazine back in 2013 and every one of them is pure gold. (Great story in the final segment about Linda's cat making some amazing hotkey trades.) 

In the first video of this series on Improving Trading Performance with Better Execution, Linda Raschke introduces why it is an important topic and discusses why traders need a plan before they begin trading for the day.

In the second installment of our series Improving Trading Performance with Better Execution, Linda Raschke discusses setting up your workstation to set yourself up for success.

In the third installment of our series Improving Trading Performance with Better Execution, Linda Raschke discusses one of the most important things to keep in mind when trading: Fix mistakes immediately.

Bonus ... I found another good one (of course good traders are made not born, but I believe it does help to be born with a certain temperament):

http://www.moneyshow.com/?scode=013356 The changing face of trading has made it easier than ever for a person without killer instincts but with a methodical trading program to do well in the markets, says Linda Raschke.

Double bonus ... so much gold in the following three short videos, every word is precious ... if you don't get it, listen over and over and over until you do: 

http://www.moneyshow.com/main.asp?scode=013203 Legendary trader Linda Raschke discusses a few steps that you can take to become a better trader.

http://www.moneyshow.com?scode=013356 Why trade with stops, and how are stops determined? Linda Raschke shares the results of some of her trade modeling, and how it can be used to determine your stops

http://www.moneyshow.com/video/details.asp?wkspid=6A0C94CF97E84BC79FC97D0C9A6B2077&pg=1&pg=1&scode=013355 Linda Raschke shares some examples of how an OCO order can be used to enter a trade, and why she rarely uses trailing stops.